Modeling Stage | Predictive Model | Phase of prognostic factor evidence | Time to recovery C-statistic (95% CI) | Time to claim closure C-statistic (95% CI) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Development | Stage 1 | Phase III | 0.626 (0.617, 0.636) | 0.598 (0.588, 0.607) |
Stage 2 | Phase I-III | 0.644 (0.634, 0.653) | 0.636 (0.626, 0.645) | |
Internal Validation (Bootstrapped models) | Stage 1 | Phase III | 0.626 (0.617, 0.636) | 0.598 (0.588, 0.600) |
Stage 2 | Phase I-III | 0.644 (0.634, 0.653) | 0.636 (0.626, 0.645) | |
External validation in Ontario | Stage 2 | Phase I-III | 0.654 (0.617, 0.692) | 0.580 (0.539, 0.621) |