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Table 4 Multivariate logistic regression analysis of prognostic predictors at baseline for improvement at 4/5th visit

From: Prognostic factors for short-term improvement in acute and persistent musculoskeletal pain consulters in primary care

 

Coefficient

OR

95% CI

p-value

Sensitivity; Specificity; Percentage correctly predicted; Area under ROC (95% CI); Adjusted R2

Acute N = 1,335

     

Gender (male)

0.26

1.30

1.01 to 1.68

0.044

97.2%; 9.6%; 70.8%; 0.64 (0.61 to 0.68); 7.4%

High area marked on pain drawing

0.27

0.76

0.59 to 0.99

0.040

 

Expect to recover

0.34

1.40

1.04 to 1.89

0.025

 

In paid employment

0.34

1.40

1.00 to 1.95

0.050

 

BQ (ADL disability)

0.085

1.09

1.02 to 1.16

0.012

 

BQ (Social disability)

0.072

1.08

1.01 to 1.14

0.016

 

Persistent

N = 1,059

     

Neck pain

0.29

1.34

1.04 to 1.73

0.022

37.0%; 74.1%; 57.7%; 0.60 (0.56 to 0.63); 3.9%

Expect to recover

0.42

1.53

1.19 to 1.96

0.001

 

In good health

0.51

1.67

1.19 to 2.35

0.003

 

Alcohol

0.29

0.75

0.57 to 0.98

0.034