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Table 8 Adjusted models for predicting poor outcome (PGIC) at 14, 30 and 90 days follow up

From: Relationship between STarT Back Screening Tool and prognosis for low back pain patients receiving spinal manipulative therapy

Follow up point

Variables in the equation

OR (95% CI)

Nagelkerke*

sn/sp

14 days (n = 235)

Pain for >30 days in year

3.2 (1.9 to 5.6)

0.26

90/25

Pain (for every 1 point increase)

0.8 (0.8 to 0.9)

  

30 days (n = 131)

Duration

 

0.32

92/29

   < 1 month

1.0

  

   1–3 months

5.6 (1.8 to 17.0)

  

   >3 months

2.4(1.1 to 5.5)

  

90 days (n = 150)

  

0.45

94/23

Duration

   

   < 1 month

1.0

  

   1–3 months

9.3 (3.0 to 29.0)

  
 

   >3 months

3.0(1.3 to 7.0)

  
  1. * = variance explained by model; sn = sensitivity; sp = specificity; PGIC = Patient Global Impression of Change.