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Table 4 Diagnostic value of clinical tests and questionnaires for Modic changes

From: Exploratory study for clinical signs of MODIC changes in patients with low-back pain in the Netherlands armed forces

Multi-test regimens

Sensitivity

Specificity

PPV

NPV

LR+

LR–

AUC

0 out of 9 tests

1(0.00–0.10)

100(0.9–1.0)

1(0.1–1.0)

46(37.3–56.5)

NA

0.98(0.95–1.01)

0.421

≥1 positive out of 9 tests

99(94.4–99.9)

1(0.00–8.5)

53(43.4–62.6)

0

0

0

0.411

≥2 positive out of 9 tests

98(89.3–98.3)

7(2.4–19.4)

55(45.2–64.6)

8(2.98–9.89)

1.06(0.97–1.15)

0.21(0.01–2.37)

0.445

≥3 positive out of 9 tests

89(81.6–94.0)

13(6.0–26.0)

55(44.7–64.8)

58(28.5–83.5)

1.05(0.92–1.20)

0.61(0.20–1.82)

0.435

≥4 positive out of 9 tests

91(80.8–96.8)

26(15.9–41.2)

59(48.4–69.0)

73(48.5–89.8)

1.25(1.04–1.50)

0.30(0.12–0.79)

0.515

≥5 positive out of 9 tests

80(67.2–81.7)

32(20.7–47.2)

57(46.4–68.4)

58(39.1–75.9)

1.18(0.94–1.49)

0.61(0.34–1.09)

0.488

≥6 positive out of 9 tests

61(48.1–73.6)

52(37.7–65.7)

59(46.4–71.6)

54(39.4–67.9)

1.28(0.90–1.81)

0.73(0.51–1.05)

0.530

≥7 positive out of 9 tests

33(22.0–46.7)

71(56.7–82.4)

57(39.5–73.2)

48(36.6–59.6)

1.15(0.66–.2.01)

0.93(0.77–1.13)

0.500

≥8 positive out of 9 tests

10(4.1–21.1)

90(82.7–94.7)

54(24.5–81.1)

46(36.6–56.6)

1.04(0.33–3.21

0.99(0.91–1.08)

0.333

9 positive out of 9 tests

3(0.01–0.25)

1(0.91–1)

100(0.20–1)

47(37.7–56.9)

Na

96.6(92.2–1.01)

NA

Single tests

 Flexion pain

60 (48.3–70.4)

63 (43.9–80.0)

82 (64.0–90.5)

37 (23.6–51.0)

1.63 (0.99–2.69)

0.64 (0.43–0.93)

0.59

 Extension pain

58 (46.6–69.2)

58 (39.2–74.5)

77 (63.9–86.6)

37 (23.5–51.0)

1.37 (0.88–2.13)

0.73 (0.49–1.07)

0.57

 ROM flexion

56 (45.3–66.9)

56 (34.9–75.6)

82 (69.6–90.5)

27 (15.6–41.0)

1.28 (0.79–2.07)

0.78 (0.51–1.19)

0.54

 ROM extension

58 (47.1–69.0)

61 (40.6–78.5)

82 (69.6–90.5)

33 (20.3–47.1)

1.48 (0.91–2.44)

0.69 (0.46–1.01)

0.57

 SLR

44 (25.5–64.7)

45 (33.7–55.9)

21 (11.2–33.4)

71 (56.9–82.9)

0.80 (0.50–1.28)

1.25 (0.82–1.89)

0.48

 PIT

58 (46.6–69.6)

57 (39.4–73.7)

75 (62.1–85.3)

39 (25.3–53.0)

1.36 (0.89–2.09)

0.73 (0.49–1.07)

0.57

 RDMQ

40 (27.8–53.4)

60 (45.1–72.6)

53 (38.0–68.0)

46 (34.1–58.8)

0.99 (0.63–1.55)

1.00 (0.79–1.27)

0.61

 NPRS

57 (43.2–69.1)

54 (39.5–67.5)

59 (44.9–71.1)

52 (37.9–65.4)

1.18 (0.75–1.88)

0.99 (0.70–1.14)

0.53

 PSEQ

45 (32.3–58.3)

42 (29.0–56.7)

47 (34.1–60.9)

40 (27.0–54.0)

0.78 (0.54–1.22)

1.33 (0.98–1.72)

0.44

  1. AUC Area under the curve, LR+ Likelihood ratio positive, LR- Likelihood ratio negative, NA Not Applicable, NPV Negative Predictive Value, NPRS Numeric Pain Rating Scale cut-off point ≥4, PPV Positive Predicted Value, PSEQ Pain Self-Efficacy Scale cut-off point ≥42, PIT Prone Instability Test, RMDQ Roland Morris Disability Questionnaire cut-off point ≥10, ROM range of motion, SLR Straight Leg Raise