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Table 3 Clinical Prediction Models with Significant Prognostic Factors for Time to Self-reported Recovery

From: Multivariable prediction models for the recovery of and claim closure related to post-collision neck pain and associated disorders

  

Stage 1

Stage 2

 

Baseline prognostic factor

 

HR (95% CI)

HR (95% CI)

 

Age in years

 

-

0.993 (0.99, 0.99)

 

Prior neck injury claim with SGI

 

0.68 (0.63, 0.74)

0.72 (0.66, 0.78)

 

Post-collision Anxiety or Worry

 

0.89 (0.83, 0.95)

-

 

Depression as > 27 on CES-D

 

0.85 (0.78, 0.93)

-

 

Pain Drawing - Percentage

 

-

0.99 (0.99, 0.99)

 

Neck pain intensity (NRS)

 

-

0.93 (0.92, 0.95)

 

Headache intensity (NRS)

 

-

0.98 (0.97, 0.99)

 

Disability

 

-

0.92 (0.85, 0.99)

 

Expectations of recovery

    

Never get better

 

0.25 (0.18, 0.35)

0.28 (0.20, 0.40)

 

Get better slowly

 

0.66 (0.61, 0.72)

0.72 (0.67, 0.78)

 

Don’t know

 

0.43 (0.40, 0.47)

0.49 (0.45, 0.54)

 
  1. * Abbreviations CI = confidence interval; SGI = Saskatchewan Government Insurance; HR = Hazards Rate
  2. Stage 1 included prognostic factors obtained from published phase III studies
  3. Stage 2 included prognostic factors obtained from published phase I and II studies
  4. ‡ Stage 3 models included clinically relevant variables not obtained from published evidence. Model composition varied and there are no final model betas to present